Follow the core drivers behind the weekly view: growth, inflation, labor, policy rates, and the yield curve. Each card is built to show the latest reading, historical context, and why it matters.
This table summarizes the main macro indicators we track in one place: latest values, short-term trend, risk assessment, and a compact history chart for each metric. Use it to quickly gauge whether growth, inflation, policy, labor markets, and the yield curve are getting better, worse, or moving sideways.
Click a metric's Learn more link to open its full dashboard. Subscribers can see much richer history, scenario analysis, and model outputs on those detail pages.
At a glance: growth softening, labor roughly balanced, inflation sticky, policy neutral, yield curve normal curve.
| Metric | Value Trend Chart Risk & Updated Next Update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP QoQ SAAR | Value 0.7 % Trend Soft Patch Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Mar 13, 2026 Next Update Apr 9, 2026 | |||
| PCE Inflation Core PCE (YoY) | Value 3.1 % Trend Reaccelerating Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Mar 13, 2026 Next Update Apr 9, 2026 | |||
| CPI Inflation Headline CPI (YoY) | Value 2.4 % Trend Cooling Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Mar 11, 2026 Next Update Apr 10, 2026 | |||
| Labor market Unemployment rate | Value 4.3 % Trend Stable Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Apr 3, 2026 Next Update May 8, 2026 | |||
| Jobless claims Initial claims, 4-wk avg | Value 207750 k Trend Healthy Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Apr 2, 2026 Next Update Apr 9, 2026 | |||
| Fed funds rate Effective rate | Value 3.64 % Trend Neutral Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Mar 18, 2026 Next Update Apr 29, 2026 | |||
| Yield curve 10Y-2Y spread | Value 52 bps Trend Normal Curve Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Last Value Date Apr 2, 2026 Next Update Daily | |||
