Reading VLO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VLO free→Reading VLO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VLO free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · VLO
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $258.67. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $60.02 | 8.5 | 9.21 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $315.36 | 18.2 | 17.29 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $250.02 | 17.9 | 13.98 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $656.70 | 1.7 | 394.16 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $190.86 |
| 13.7 |
| 13.98 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $233.72 | 16.7 | 13.98 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $278.69 | 17.9 | 15.58 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $125.94 | 18.2 | 6.91 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $555.25 | 17.9 | 31.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $685.27 | 1.7 | 411.31 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $423.88 | 13.7 | 31.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $519.07 | 16.7 | 31.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $68.30 | 18.2 | 3.74 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $945.15 | 17.9 | 52.85 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $705.00 | 1.7 | 423.15 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $721.53 | 13.7 | 52.85 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $883.56 | 16.7 | 52.85 | Analyst | medium |