Reading TGT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TGT free→Reading TGT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TGT free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · TGT
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $135.23. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $140.83 | 17.6 | 8.00 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $212.51 | 14.8 | 16.10 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $131.41 | 19.2 | 6.85 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $140.48 | 17.6 | 7.98 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $413.40 |
| 1.7 |
| 244.60 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $179.04 | 22.4 | 7.98 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $127.76 | 16.0 | 7.98 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $147.01 | 17.6 | 8.35 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $171.99 | 17.6 | 9.77 | Mgmt(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $828.23 | 19.2 | 43.16 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $171.56 | 17.6 | 9.75 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $415.59 | 1.7 | 245.90 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $218.66 | 22.4 | 9.75 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $156.04 | 16.0 | 9.75 | Analyst | low |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $196.52 | 17.6 | 11.16 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $196.02 | 17.6 | 11.14 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $417.06 | 1.7 | 246.77 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $249.83 | 22.4 | 11.14 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $178.29 | 16.0 | 11.14 | Analyst | high |