Reading MO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MO free→Reading MO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MO free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · MO
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $71.94. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $99.28 | 17.6 | 5.64 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $88.32 | 14.8 | 6.81 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $98.91 | 19.2 | 5.15 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $96.99 | 17.6 | 5.51 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $22.74 |
| 1.7 |
| 13.45 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $75.47 | 13.7 | 5.51 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $60.04 | 10.9 | 5.51 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $92.27 | 17.6 | 5.24 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $112.35 | 17.6 | 6.38 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $107.29 | 19.2 | 5.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $109.76 | 17.6 | 6.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $19.29 | 1.7 | 11.41 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $85.40 | 13.7 | 6.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $67.95 | 10.9 | 6.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $122.00 | 17.6 | 6.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $113.26 | 19.2 | 5.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $119.19 | 17.6 | 6.77 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $17.28 | 1.7 | 10.23 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $92.74 | 13.7 | 6.77 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $73.78 | 10.9 | 6.77 | Analyst | high |