Reading JCI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track JCI free→Reading JCI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track JCI free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · JCI
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $144.96. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $86.94 | 17.9 | 4.85 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $48.21 | 13.2 | 4.66 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $41.31 | 19.5 | 2.11 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $78.69 | 17.9 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $60.76 |
| 1.7 |
| 34.86 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $211.32 | 48.1 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $108.03 | 24.6 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $82.32 | 17.9 | 4.59 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $162.72 | 17.9 | 9.08 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $52.61 | 19.5 | 2.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $147.29 | 17.9 | 8.22 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $88.20 | 1.7 | 50.60 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $395.53 | 48.1 | 8.22 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $202.20 | 24.6 | 8.22 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $247.13 | 17.9 | 13.79 | Mgmt(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $61.81 | 19.5 | 3.16 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $223.69 | 17.9 | 12.48 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $113.07 | 1.7 | 64.87 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 5Y | $600.71 | 48.1 | 12.48 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $307.09 | 24.6 | 12.48 | Analyst | low |