Reading HCA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HCA free→Reading HCA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HCA free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · HCA
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $387.18. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $438.43 | 14.5 | 30.30 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $92.12 | 5.5 | 54.97 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $564.53 | 16.1 | 34.97 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $419.05 | 14.5 | 28.96 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $298.06 |
| 0.9 |
| 327.58 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $520.51 | 18.0 | 28.96 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $432.17 | 14.9 | 28.96 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $439.79 | 14.5 | 30.39 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $568.02 | 14.5 | 39.26 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1053.19 | 16.1 | 65.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $542.90 | 14.5 | 37.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $364.24 | 0.9 | 400.30 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $674.35 | 18.0 | 37.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $559.91 | 14.9 | 37.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $675.05 | 14.5 | 46.65 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1596.08 | 16.1 | 98.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $645.20 | 14.5 | 44.59 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $416.33 | 0.9 | 457.55 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $801.42 | 18.0 | 44.59 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $665.41 | 14.9 | 44.59 | Analyst | medium |