Reading ATO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ATO free→Reading ATO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ATO free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATO
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $169.96. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $172.77 | 20.4 | 8.45 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $179.66 | 12.7 | 18.60 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $166.44 | 20.4 | 8.14 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $115.48 | 3.0 | 38.33 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $198.90 |
| 24.4 |
| 8.14 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $168.29 | 20.7 | 8.14 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $171.00 | 20.4 | 8.36 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $216.27 | 20.4 | 10.58 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 3Y | $343.04 | 12.7 | 31.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $208.34 | 20.4 | 10.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $90.75 | 3.0 | 30.12 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $248.97 | 24.4 | 10.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $210.66 | 20.7 | 10.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $251.20 | 20.4 | 12.29 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 5Y | $510.76 | 12.7 | 44.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $241.98 | 20.4 | 11.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $77.28 | 3.0 | 25.65 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $289.18 | 24.4 | 11.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $244.68 | 20.7 | 11.84 | Analyst | medium |