Reading VC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VC free→Reading VC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VC free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but the capital stance is capital unfriendly, indicating less shareholder-friendly actions. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, VC is typical in performance. Peer multiples imply a price about 11% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $118.44. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $118 VC trades at 13× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $133 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Analysts: $115–$135. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 11% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -21%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted -9.61x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $2.16 → $2.15 (-0.5% / 30d). 6 raised, 6 cut, 11 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$139.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$330.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,398.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A drop in adjusted EBITDA shows trouble with costs and efficiency.
Confirms:In Q2, adjusted EBITDA was more than $110 million.
Disproves:In Q2, adjusted EBITDA was less than $110 million.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for VC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 27, 2026, Visteon Corporation (the “Company”) entered into Amendment No. 8 to Credit Agreement & Agency Transfer Agreement (the “Amendment”) to its credit agreement, dated as of April 9, 2014 (as amended by that certain Waiver and Amendment No. 1 to Credit Agreement, dated as of March 25, 2015, Amendment No. 2 to Credit Agreement, dated as of March 24, 2017, Amendment No. 3 to Credit Agreement, dated as of November 14, 2017, Amendment No. 4…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$115.00 – $135.00 (median $119.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-04-27
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Automotive Parts & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VC Visteon | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BWA BorgWarner | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | full | moderate |
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 49 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
APTV Aptiv | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AUR Aurora Innovation Inc | — | — | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to prioritize revenue growth as a key strategic focus.
Enhance operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Increase cash flow from operations to support strategic initiatives.
Why it matters: Sales growth is crucial for Visteon. A decline would indicate weakening demand.
Confirms:Q2 sales grew more than 2% compared to last year.
Disproves:Q2 sales grew less than 2% compared to last year.
Why it matters: New business wins signal strong demand and growth potential for Visteon. A win over $1 billion would show solid momentum.
Confirms:A press release announcing new business wins over $1 billion in Q2.
Disproves:New business wins fall below $500 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Changes in credit terms can change how Visteon manages money and runs its business.
Confirms one read:News of better credit terms or lower interest rates.
Confirms the other:News of worse credit terms or higher interest rates.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows good operations and helps future investments.
Confirms:Cash flow from operations reported above $10 million in Q2.
Disproves:Cash flow from operations reported below $0 in Q2.
Why it matters: Improving operating income is crucial. A rise would show progress in managing costs.
Confirms:Operating income increases from $49M in Q1 2026 to above $60M in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Operating income stays below $49M in Q2 2026.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 23, 2026 , the registrant issued a press release regarding its financial results for the first quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Se…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information provided in