Reading UPS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track UPS free→Reading UPS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track UPS free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · UPS
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $108.10. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $202.38 | 18.3 | 12.29 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $146.13 | 27.5 | 5.31 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $177.78 | 26.4 | 6.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $402.98 | 3.7 | 108.40 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $218.24 |
| 32.4 |
| 6.74 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $106.70 | 15.8 | 6.74 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $181.39 | 26.4 | 6.88 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $92.28 | 27.5 | 3.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $247.82 | 26.4 | 9.40 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $415.55 | 3.7 | 111.79 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $304.21 | 32.4 | 9.40 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $148.74 | 15.8 | 9.40 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $67.93 | 27.5 | 2.47 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $309.24 | 26.4 | 11.72 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $424.14 | 3.7 | 114.10 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $379.61 | 32.4 | 11.72 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $185.61 | 15.8 | 11.72 | Analyst | medium |