Reading ULTA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ULTA free→Reading ULTA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ULTA free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ULTA
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $467.74. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $523.75 | 18.3 | 28.58 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $535.50 | 13.9 | 38.99 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $467.74 | 20.3 | 23.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $488.75 | 18.3 | 26.67 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $623.34 |
| 2.2 |
| 286.85 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $1145.33 | 42.9 | 26.67 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $518.02 | 19.4 | 26.67 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $529.17 | 18.3 | 28.88 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $724.44 | 18.3 | 39.53 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $485.57 | 20.3 | 23.91 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $676.02 | 18.3 | 36.89 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $704.64 | 2.2 | 324.27 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $1584.19 | 42.9 | 36.89 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $716.51 | 19.4 | 36.89 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $899.33 | 18.3 | 49.07 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $497.83 | 20.3 | 24.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $839.23 | 18.3 | 45.80 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $764.65 | 2.2 | 351.88 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $1966.65 | 42.9 | 45.80 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $889.49 | 19.4 | 45.80 | Analyst | medium |