Reading TDY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TDY free→Reading TDY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TDY free→NYSEInformation TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality is fragile, indicating that reported profits may not be well-supported by cash flow. Management's recent track record has been volatile, which adds a layer of risk, though the sector backdrop is a tailwind, benefiting from favorable trends. Peer multiples imply a price about 9% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening due to the concerns around earnings quality. Key factors to watch include any potential guidance cuts from TDY and the performance of sector bellwethers like COHR, KEYS, and MKSI. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $626.02. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $626 TDY trades at 27× p/e, below its 28× p/e peer median. Our $577 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Analysts: $614–$775. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 9% near-term growth, in line with our forecast of about 7%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated strong grew net income 73% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.27x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated fragile grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 65% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $5.79 → $5.78 (-0.1% / 30d). 7 raised, 3 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 77% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 6.4% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$123.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$218.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,839.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A raise in EPS guidance signals strong ongoing performance and growth expectations.
Confirms:Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS guidance raised above $4.90.
Disproves:Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS guidance remains at or below $4.75.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for TDY yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 22, 2026, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated ("Teledyne") issued a press release with respect to its first quarter 2026 financial results. That press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$614.00 – $775.00 (median $760.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-05-03
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Equipment & Instruments.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TDY Teledyne Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 73 of 100 | full | moderate |
KEYS Keysight Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 86 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
ROP Roper Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 95 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
TRMB Trimble Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
ZBRA Zebra Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to increase the non-GAAP EPS guidance for the full year 2026.
Emphasizing growth in the Digital Imaging segment, particularly in infrared detectors and systems.
Continue efforts to reduce net debt and leverage, including debt maturity payments.
Why it matters: Growth in this area helps increase total revenue and profit.
Confirms:Digital Imaging segment net sales increase by more than 7% year over year.
Disproves:Digital Imaging segment net sales growth falls below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Hitting this EPS target shows strong performance and growth.
Confirms:In Q2 2026, non-GAAP diluted EPS was above $5.80.
Disproves:Q2 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS reported at or below $5.70.
Why it matters: Higher net debt may raise worries about financial health. It can affect how debt is managed.
Confirms:Net debt reported above $2 billion.
Disproves:Net debt reported below $1.9 billion.
Why it matters: Lowering net debt makes finances more stable. It also allows for future investments.
Confirms:Net debt decreases below $1.9 billion.
Disproves:Net debt increases or remains above $1.95 billion.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (“Teledyne”) is a party to the Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of June 10, 2024, by and among Teledyne, as borrower and guarantor, the designated borrowers party thereto, the subsidiary guarantor party thereto, the lenders from time to time party thereto and Bank of America, N.A., as Administrative Agent, Swing Line Lender and L/C Issuer (the "Credit Agreement"). On February 25, 2026, Teledyn…
The filing primarily discusses compensation adjustments and the approval of an amended incentive plan.
Director — Kenneth C. Dahlberg: Kenneth C. Dahlberg is retiring from his role as a director at the end of his term.
director — Denise R. Singleton: Director retiring due to potential meeting conflicts.