Reading TDG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TDG free→Reading TDG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TDG free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · TDG
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1256.05. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $1320.44 | 38.2 | 34.60 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $1105.81 | 34.7 | 31.84 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $1327.31 | 38.2 | 34.78 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $567.14 | 3.7 | 154.65 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $2128.52 |
| 61.2 |
| 34.78 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $1416.73 | 40.7 | 34.78 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $1378.94 | 38.2 | 36.13 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $2641.36 | 38.2 | 69.21 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $2128.76 | 34.7 | 61.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $2655.11 | 38.2 | 69.57 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $965.38 | 3.7 | 263.24 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $4257.84 | 61.2 | 69.57 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $2833.99 | 40.7 | 69.57 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $4193.43 | 38.2 | 109.88 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $3294.27 | 34.7 | 94.86 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $4215.24 | 38.2 | 110.45 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1376.28 | 3.7 | 375.29 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $6759.74 | 61.2 | 110.45 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $4499.24 | 40.7 | 110.45 | Analyst | high |