Reading SEDG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SEDG free→Reading SEDG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SEDG free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly approach. Risk is elevated, and compared with sector peers, SEDG trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 44% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact performance. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $60.80. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $61 SEDG trades at 4× p/s, below its 7× p/s peer median. Our $106 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $24–$45. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 43% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 21%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.26x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.04 → $0.01 (+136.2% / 30d). 12 raised, 4 cut, 19 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 4% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$456.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$934.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,726.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth is key for the company's money health. It also helps investor trust.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported above 10% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SEDG yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Chief Financial Officer — Mr. Asaf Alperovitz and Mr. Maoz Sigron: The CFO is stepping down to pursue another opportunity, with a successor already appointed.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
$24.00 – $45.00 (median $33.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-05-08
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductor Materials & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SEDG SolarEdge | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 8 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | — | — | moderate |
AMAT Applied Materials | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | elevated |
LRCX Lam Research | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | full | elevated |
KLAC KLA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on launching the SolarEdge Nexis platform to drive growth.
Continue to develop the AI data-center power roadmap to enhance capabilities.
Aim to enhance gross profit margin through operational efficiencies.
Drive revenue growth through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Improve operational efficiency to reduce costs and improve profitability.
Why it matters: The Nexis platform is key for growth. A successful launch could boost revenue.
Confirms:A press release confirming the successful launch of the Nexis platform.
Disproves:No announcement or delays in the Nexis platform rollout.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost management. This can help the company make more money.
Confirms:Gross profit margin reported above 25% for Q2.
Disproves:Gross profit margin reported below 20% for Q2.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect where a company goes. They can also change how investors feel. Good communication is important.
Confirms one read:The new CFO has a clear plan for finances. This makes investors feel more secure.
Confirms the other:The change can cause uncertainty or confusion about the financial plan.
Why it matters: Moving forward with this plan is key for future growth. It helps stay competitive.
Confirms one read:A clear update on the AI data-center power plan shows progress.
Confirms the other:No updates or setbacks in the AI data-center power roadmap.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter of 2026, ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, this information, including the exhibits hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Secur…