Reading SAM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SAM free→Reading SAM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SAM free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · SAM
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $181.89. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $170.03 | 17.4 | 9.75 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $59.06 | 12.2 | 3.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $275.15 | 16.2 | 16.95 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $160.79 | 17.4 | 9.22 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $138.50 |
| 0.9 |
| 148.84 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $271.59 | 29.5 | 9.22 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $288.88 | 31.3 | 9.22 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $162.25 | 17.4 | 9.30 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $242.88 | 17.4 | 13.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $377.72 | 16.2 | 23.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $229.67 | 17.4 | 13.17 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $191.46 | 0.9 | 205.76 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $387.95 | 29.5 | 13.17 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $412.64 | 31.3 | 13.17 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $308.05 | 17.4 | 17.66 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $466.56 | 16.2 | 28.74 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $291.30 | 17.4 | 16.70 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $237.59 | 0.9 | 255.33 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $492.06 | 29.5 | 16.70 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $523.36 | 31.3 | 16.70 | Analyst | high |