Reading PSN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PSN free→Reading PSN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PSN free→NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, though PSN trades above typical compared with sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 53% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $56.70. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $57 PSN trades at 18× p/e, below its 38× p/e peer median. Our $121 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 53% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 2.13x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.81 → $0.76 (-6.5% / 30d). 1 raised, 12 cut, 13 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 64% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 14.1% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$153.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$363.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,541.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Unemployment claims can show the health of the economy. A rise may hurt demand for Parsons' services.
Confirms:Weekly unemployment claims rise above 300,000.
Disproves:Weekly unemployment claims fall below 250,000.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PSN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 29, 2026, Parson Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 and certain other financial information. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Aerospace & Defense.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PSN Parsons Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
GE GE Aerospace | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BA Boeing | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 18 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
LMT Lockheed Martin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 58 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
Not enough signal yet.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Maintain the revenue guidance range of $6.5 billion to $6.8 billion for fiscal year 2026.
Maintain the free cash flow guidance range of $470 million to $530 million for fiscal year 2026.
Maintain the adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $615 million to $675 million for fiscal year 2026.
Why it matters: Reiterating revenue guidance shows confidence in growth. It affects investor trust.
Confirms:Management says FY 2026 revenue guidance stays the same in the next earnings call.
Disproves:Management lowers FY 2026 revenue guidance during the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Restating free cash flow guidance shows strong cash generation. This comforts investors.
Confirms:Management says FY 2026 free cash flow guidance stays the same in the next earnings call.
Disproves:Management lowers FY 2026 free cash flow guidance during the next earnings call.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a recovery in the industrial sector. This would be positive for Parsons.
Confirms:Three-year revenue growth in the industrial sector rises back toward 10% or higher.
Disproves:Three-year revenue growth stays below 8%.