Reading MELI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MELI free→Reading MELI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MELI free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · MELI
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1589.60. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $608.36 | 10.9 | 67.83 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $3386.20 | 16.0 | 211.21 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $597.79 | 15.8 | 37.89 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $543.11 | 0.9 | 583.82 | TTM | low |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $1843.81 |
| 48.7 |
| 37.89 |
| TTM |
| low |
| triangulated | 12M | $602.40 | 15.8 | 38.18 | Triangulated | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $10002.51 | 16.0 | 623.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $1335.90 | 15.8 | 84.67 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $1553.14 | 0.9 | 1669.56 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $4120.40 | 48.7 | 84.67 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $2283.44 | 15.8 | 144.73 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $3129.17 | 0.9 | 3363.72 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $7042.96 | 48.7 | 144.73 | Analyst | medium |