Reading LNT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LNT free→Reading LNT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LNT free→NASDAQUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Risk is low, but the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact LNT's performance compared to sector peers, where it is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment hinges on guidance changes, as a cut could negatively affect estimates, while a raise could provide momentum. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $73.11. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $73 LNT trades at 23× p/e, in line with its 20× p/e peer median. Our $67 fair value reflects that, medium confidence. Analysts: $73–$81. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 9% near-term growth, in line with our forecast of about 12%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Utilities names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1203).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.57x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Utilities names rated fragile grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=832).
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.70 → $0.69 (-1.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 3 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 64% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$69.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$155.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $701.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights into financial health and future outlook. It can shift investor sentiment.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows results that are better than expected. It also confirms guidance.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows results that are worse than expected. It also lowers guidance.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for LNT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Alliant Energy Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$73.00 – $81.00 (median $76.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-05-04
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electric Utilities.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LNT Alliant Energy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 47 of 100 | full | low |
SO Southern Company | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | fair | low |
DUK Duke Energy | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | fair | low |
CEG Constellation Energy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | full | elevated |
AEP American Electric Power | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 43 of 100 | full | low |
Not enough signal yet.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Alliant Energy continues to reaffirm its EPS guidance for 2026, maintaining a range of $3.36 to $3.46.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth speeds up, it could boost Alliant Energy's performance. It shows a healthier market.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth stays below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Reaffirming EPS guidance shows management's confidence in earnings. It can impact investor trust.
Confirms:Management confirms EPS guidance for 2026 during the next earnings call.
Disproves:Management lowers or withdraws EPS guidance for 2026.