Reading LLY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LLY free→Reading LLY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LLY free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · LLY
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1133.00. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $464.48 | 12.8 | 36.25 | Mgmt | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $194.19 | 9.2 | 25.71 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $252.97 | 16.7 | 15.16 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $376.71 | 12.8 | 29.40 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $149.23 |
| 2.4 |
| 61.85 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| PEG | 12M | $893.68 | 30.4 | 29.40 | TTM | medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $1242.40 | 42.3 | 29.40 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $391.63 | 12.8 | 30.56 | Triangulated | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $1035.30 | 12.8 | 80.80 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $907.48 | 16.7 | 54.38 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $839.67 | 12.8 | 65.53 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $451.06 | 2.4 | 186.96 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $1991.97 | 30.4 | 65.53 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $2769.25 | 42.3 | 65.53 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1766.58 | 12.8 | 137.87 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $2126.60 | 16.7 | 127.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1432.76 | 12.8 | 111.82 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $942.94 | 2.4 | 390.84 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $3398.99 | 30.4 | 111.82 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $4725.30 | 42.3 | 111.82 | Analyst | medium |