Reading LFUS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LFUS free→Reading LFUS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LFUS free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been fairly steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it has a capital-unfriendly stance. Peer multiples imply a price about 25% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If LFUS cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $472.14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $472 LFUS trades at 5× p/s — 1.4× the 4× p/s peer median, and above its own 3× history. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $382 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts: $430–$535. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 24% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 8%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -11.17x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $3.38 → $3.78 (+11.8% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 75% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 11.4% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$181.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$371.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,975.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows strong demand and growth for Littelfuse products.
Confirms:Q2 revenue reported within the range of $690-$710 million.
Disproves:Q2 revenue falls below $690 million.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for LFUS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Form 8-K and the Exhibits attached hereto shall not be deemed to be "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. On May 6, 2026, Littelfuse, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the results of its operations for the quarter ended March 28,…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
$430.00 – $535.00 (median $500.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-06-05
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LFUS Littelfuse | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | full | moderate |
APH Amphenol | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | full | moderate |
GLW Corning Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 38 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COHR Coherent Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 30 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
VSH Vishay Intertechnology | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 37 of 100 | fair | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Met or beat guidance 50% of the last 2 guided quarters · -90.9% avg surprise
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Target revenue growth to reach $690-$710 million in the second quarter of 2026.
Target adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $3.65 to $3.85 for the second quarter of 2026.
Focus on improving operating income through cost management and efficiency.
Why it matters: The court case outcome could affect money made and how investors feel.
Confirms:A good end to the court case or a settlement.
Disproves:A bad ruling or more problems in the court case.
Why it matters: Leadership changes can affect company strategy and performance. Investors need to see if new leaders can drive growth.
Confirms one read:New executives announce a strategic plan that aligns with growth goals.
Confirms the other:New leaders do not show a clear plan, causing doubt.
Why it matters: This EPS shows good cost control and makes more money.
Confirms:Q2 EPS reported within the range of $3.65-$3.85.
Disproves:Q2 EPS falls below $3.65.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how well Littelfuse is doing. It will also reveal if the company is recovering from recent challenges.
Confirms one read:Earnings per share (EPS) beats expectations by more than 5%.
Confirms the other:EPS falls short of expectations by more than 5%.
Why it matters: The outcome of the litigation could impact Littelfuse's financial health and reputation. Investors will want to know how serious the issue is.
Confirms:A settlement or good ruling that lowers possible costs.
Disproves:A ruling that raises costs or damages a lot.
Regulation FD Disclosure To supplement the information in the attached press release, the Company has also prepared a presentation, which will be available on the Company’s website at https://investor.littelfuse.com/events-and-presentations and is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in the press release and investor presentation attached to this Form 8-K includes forward-looking statements that are intended to be covered by the safe-ha…
The filing pertains to the approval of new forms of compensatory award agreements for executive officers.