Reading KFY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is also neutral. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact growth. Compared with sector peers, KFY trades above typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 41% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $73.22. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $73 KFY trades at 14× p/e, below its 23× p/e peer median. Our $122 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $65–$80. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 40% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 5%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.39x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=4440).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
Not enough signal yet.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.33 → $1.33 (-0.6% / 30d). 1 raised, 4 cut, 5 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 80% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.1% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$107.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$245.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,105.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report gives insights into job growth and wage trends, affecting Korn/Ferry's outlook.
Confirms one read:Non-farm payrolls increase by more than 300,000 jobs in the June report.
Confirms the other:Non-farm payrolls increase by fewer than 100,000 jobs in the June report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for KFY yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
No material events in the last 90 days.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$65.00 – $80.00 (median $70.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-06-09
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Human Resource & Employment Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KFY Korn/Ferry International | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
ADP Automatic Data Processing | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 97 of 100 | fair | elevated |
PAYX Paychex | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PAYC Paycom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PCTY Paylocity | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Why it matters: More people filing for unemployment may show a weak economy. This could hurt Korn/Ferry's business.
Confirms:Unemployment claims rise above 250,000 for the week ending June 4.
Disproves:Unemployment claims stay below 200,000 for the week ending June 4.
Why it matters: PPI data can show inflation trends. These trends can change Korn/Ferry's business environment.
Confirms one read:PPI shows an increase of more than 0.3% month-over-month.
Confirms the other:PPI shows an increase of less than 0.1% month-over-month.
Why it matters: Changes in consumer prices can impact demand for Korn/Ferry's services. Higher inflation may hurt growth.
Confirms one read:Consumer Price Index increases by more than 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Consumer Price Index increases by less than 0.2% month over month.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how Korn/Ferry is managing in a slowing sector. Strong results may boost confidence.
Confirms one read:Earnings per share (EPS) beats consensus estimates by more than 10%.
Confirms the other:EPS misses consensus estimates by more than 10%.
Why it matters: If industrial sector revenue growth speeds up, it may help Korn/Ferry's performance.
Confirms:3-year revenue growth in the industrial sector rises above 8%.
Disproves:3-year revenue growth in the industrial sector stays below 6%.