Reading FLS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FLS free→Reading FLS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FLS free→NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality is mixed, and risk is elevated, while the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, FLS is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $78.07. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $78 FLS trades at 21× p/e, below its 24× p/e peer median. Our $96 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Analysts: $83–$102. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 19% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.45x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=4440).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $0.86. 0 raised, 11 cut, 11 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 73% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$161.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$348.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,983.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Reaffirming EPS guidance shows trust in earnings stability and growth.
Confirms:Management confirms adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 is $4.00 to $4.20.
Disproves:Management lowers EPS guidance. This shows weaker earnings ahead.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for FLS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Form 8-K and in Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference. Forward-Looking St…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$83.00 – $102.00 (median $92.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-05-01
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FLS Flowserve | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | fair | elevated |
PH Parker Hannifin | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | full | moderate |
ITW Illinois Tool Works | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 92 of 100 | fair | moderate |
GWW W. W. Grainger | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 73 of 100 | full | moderate |
DOV Dover Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | fair | low |
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Flowserve aims to improve its adjusted operating margin by 860 basis points since 2022.
Flowserve reaffirms its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.00 to $4.20.
Flowserve plans to allocate $90 million to $100 million for capital expenditures in 2026.
Why it matters: Recent acquisitions may increase revenue and profits. It is important to track their effects.
Confirms:The earnings report shows that recent acquisitions helped boost results.
Disproves:The earnings report shows no big changes. There is no negative effect from the acquisitions.
Why it matters: This debt issuance changes Flowserve's financial options and structure. Investors will watch its effect on growth plans.
Confirms one read:The company completed a $500 million debt issuance. There were no issues reported.
Confirms the other:Any delays or issues reported in the debt issuance process.
Why it matters: Flowserve aims for 860 basis points of margin improvement. Progress signals cost management success.
Confirms:Management says margins improved by at least 500 basis points since 2022.
Disproves:Margin improvement stops or goes down, showing bad cost management.
Why it matters: Capital spending affects growth and how well a company operates. It is key to watch.
Confirms one read:Flowserve says capital spending is between $90 million and $100 million.
Confirms the other:Capex drops below $90 million, showing possible growth limits.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 12, 2026, Flowserve Corporation, a New York corporation (the “Company”), issued $500 million aggregate principal amount of its 5.700% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “Notes”). The Notes were issued pursuant to a Senior Indenture, dated as of September 11, 2012 (the “Base Indenture”), between the Company and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association (as successor-in-interest to U.S. Bank National Association), as Trustee (the “Trustee”), as sup…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 5, 2026, Flowserve Corporation, a New York corporation (the “Company”), entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with BofA Securities, Inc., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and Mizuho Securities USA LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named therein, relating to the offering and sale of $500 million aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 5.700% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “Notes”). The terms of the N…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth under
of this Form 8-K and in Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference.