Reading FIS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FIS free→Reading FIS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FIS free→NYSEFinancialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is also neutral. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop presents a headwind. Compared with sector peers, FIS trades above typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 51% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $39.20. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $39 FIS trades at 7× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $79 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $45–$70. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 50% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 5%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=4936).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.07x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=4725).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal yet.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.49 → $1.47 (-1.4% / 30d). 5 raised, 14 cut, 23 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 62% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 7.1% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$141.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$337.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,245.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Falling revenue growth may show weak demand or more competition. This raises worries about future performance.
Confirms:Q2 adjusted revenue growth was below 30%.
Disproves:Q2 Adjusted revenue growth reported at 30% or higher.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for FIS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 8, 2026, Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026, and guidance for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, and full year ending December 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information included in this Item 2.02, including the accompanying exhibits,…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$45.00 – $70.00 (median $57.00) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-05-28
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Transaction & Payment Processing Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FIS Fidelity National Information Services | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
V Visa Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | expensive | low |
MA Mastercard | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | expensive | low |
XYZ Block, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 64 of 100 | fair | elevated |
PYPL PayPal | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 6 guided quarters · 194.7% avg surprise
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
FIS aims to achieve Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10% for the fiscal year 2026.
FIS projects Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31% for the fiscal year 2026.
FIS targets Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion for the fiscal year 2026.
Why it matters: Lower Free Cash Flow guidance could signal cash generation issues. This would impact capital allocation plans.
Confirms:Free Cash Flow guidance reported below $2.05 billion.
Disproves:Free Cash Flow guidance reported at $2.05 billion or higher.
Why it matters: A drop in sector revenue growth could indicate broader economic challenges. This may affect FIS's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported below its median.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Lower EPS growth would signal challenges in meeting management's growth targets. This could affect investor confidence.
Confirms:Q2 Adjusted EPS growth reported below 8%.
Disproves:Q2 Adjusted EPS growth reported at 8% or higher.