Reading ETR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ETR free→Reading ETR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ETR free→NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits, and risk is low. Peer multiples imply a price about 27% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If ETR reverses and cuts guidance after recently raising, that could lead to a credibility hit. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $111.11. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $111 the market pays 28× p/e — above the 20× p/e peer median but in line with its own 28× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $89 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Analysts: $94–$135. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 25% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Utilities names rated weak grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=906).
Over the trailing year it converted 3.02x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Utilities names rated robust grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=832).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.10 → $1.11 (+0.3% / 30d). 5 raised, 2 cut, 15 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 71% of analysts rate Buy.
7 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.3% above current price.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning (often a turnaround setup).
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$81.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$187.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,062.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Court cases can create uncertainty. They can also impact Entergy's money and image.
Confirms:Court cases end with a good result for Entergy. This reduces uncertainty.
Disproves:Court cases can end poorly. They can hurt finances or reputation.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ETR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 5, 2026, the Company entered into forward sale agreements with each of Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, Citibank, N.A., Barclays Bank PLC and The Bank of Nova Scotia (each, a “Forward Purchaser”), relating to an aggregate of 19,247,788 shares of Common Stock (each, a “Forward Sale Agreement”). In connection with the Forward Sale Agreements, the Company entered into an Underwriting Agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Wells Far…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$94.00 – $135.00 (median $123.00) · 17 analysts · as of 2026-06-10
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electric Utilities.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ETR Entergy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 46 of 100 | full | low |
SO Southern Company | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | fair | low |
DUK Duke Energy | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | fair | low |
CEG Constellation Energy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | full | elevated |
AEP American Electric Power | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 43 of 100 | full | low |
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Utilities names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Entergy has affirmed its 2026 adjusted earnings per share guidance range of $4.25 to $4.45.
Entergy announced a share buyback agreement involving forward sale agreements for 19,247,788 shares.
Why it matters: Confirming the EPS guidance shows Entergy's ability to manage earnings. This is key for investor confidence.
Confirms:Management confirms EPS guidance at or above $4.25 during the next earnings call.
Disproves:Management lowers EPS guidance to less than $4.25.
Why it matters: A new CEO can change the company's direction. This can affect growth and how investors feel.
Confirms one read:The new CEO shares a clear growth plan. This plan matches what investors expect.
Confirms the other:The new CEO does not give a clear plan. This creates uncertainty for investors.
Why it matters: A clear buyback plan can signal strong capital allocation and support the stock price.
Confirms:Entergy shares details about the buyback amount and when it will happen.
Disproves:No further details on the buyback are provided within the next quarter.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 29, 2026, Entergy Corporation (the “ Company ”) issued a press release, which is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference, announcing its results of operations and financial condition for the first quarter 2026 (the “ Earnings Release ”). The information in Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished, not filed, pursuant to this
Other Events. On May 5, 2026, the Company entered into the Underwriting Agreement with the Underwriters and the Forward Sellers, relating to the registered public offering and sale by the Forward Sellers of 19,247,788 shares of Common Stock. Pursuant to the Underwriting Agreement, the Company also granted an option with respect to an additional 2,887,168 shares of Common Stock. On May 7, 2026, 19,247,788 shares of Common Stock were borrowed from third parties and sold to the Underwriters by t…
The filing describes amendments to retirement plans for certain executives.