Reading ES? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ES free→Reading ES? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ES free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ES
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $68.69. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $95.08 | 20.4 | 4.65 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $125.08 | 12.7 | 16.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $48.40 | 77.0 | 0.63 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $102.23 | 20.4 | 5.00 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $119.73 |
| 3.0 |
| 39.74 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $72.43 | 14.5 | 5.00 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $99.49 | 20.4 | 4.87 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $93.70 | 20.4 | 4.58 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $100.75 | 20.4 | 4.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $111.80 | 3.0 | 37.11 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $71.38 | 14.5 | 4.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $92.80 | 20.4 | 4.54 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $99.78 | 20.4 | 4.88 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $106.81 | 3.0 | 35.45 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $70.69 | 14.5 | 4.88 | Analyst | high |