Reading EPC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EPC free→Reading EPC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EPC free→NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, while management's recent track record has been steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Peer multiples imply a price about 75% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified, as it is rich on today's multiple, but the three-year horizon reads cheaper once expected earnings growth is included. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact the company's outlook. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $22.94. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $23 EPC trades at 33× p/e — 1.9× the 17× p/e peer median, and above its own 14× history. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $13 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts: $23–$26. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 75% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 6%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=1144).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.51x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.05 → $0.63 (-39.7% / 30d). 0 raised, 6 cut, 7 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 43% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$177.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$397.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,039.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Stable dividends show confidence in cash flow. This builds trust with investors.
Confirms:Dividend per share stays at $0.15 in Q3.
Disproves:Dividend per share is cut below $0.15 in Q3.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for EPC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Chief Supply Chain Officer — Paul R. Hibbert: Mr. Hibbert will no longer serve as Chief Supply Chain Officer.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$23.00 – $26.00 (median $24.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-05-08
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Household Products.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
EPC Edgewell Personal Care | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 18 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
CL Colgate-Palmolive | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | full | moderate |
KMB Kimberly-Clark | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | fair | moderate |
CHD Church & Dwight | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 35 of 100 | expensive | low |
CLX Clorox | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | fair | moderate |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=379).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue efforts to enhance gross profit margins through operational efficiencies.
Commitment to maintaining regular dividend payments to shareholders.
Focus on improving cash flow from operations through better working capital management.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect how well a company runs. This can change profits.
Confirms one read:New supply chain officer announced with a strong track record.
Confirms the other:No new supply chain officer appointed or a weak candidate is named.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow supports business initiatives and shows financial health. It's crucial for future growth.
Confirms:Cash from operations remains positive above $50M in Q3.
Disproves:Cash from operations drops back to negative in Q3.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is crucial for funding operations and maintaining dividends. It shows financial health.
Confirms:Cash flow from operations increases by more than 10% compared to the previous quarter.
Disproves:Cash flow from operations decreases or stays flat compared to the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost management and pricing power. This is important for making money.
Confirms:Gross profit margins improve by more than 2% compared to the previous quarter.
Disproves:Gross profit margins decline or stay flat compared to the previous quarter.
Why it matters: The Chief Supply Chain Officer left. This could affect operations and costs. Stability in this role is key.
Confirms:A new Chief Supply Chain Officer is appointed quickly and shows strong credentials.
Disproves:The job stays open for a long time. No qualified replacement is found.
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed to be "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K under Item 2.02, including the accompanying Exhibit 99.1, shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date hereof, exc…