Reading CUZ? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CUZ free→
CUZ
Cousins PropertiesNYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-06-12
Intact
$29.01+0.17%
Close 2026-06-12 · 1-day change
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
The bottom line
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with CUZ trading below typical levels compared to sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If CUZ reverses course and raises guidance next quarter, that could signal a sharp positive shift. This read is provisional.
as of 2026-06-12
Quick facts
- Exchange
- NYSE
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Reit - Office
- Market cap
- $4.81B
- Employees
- 351
- IPO date
- 1994-03-30
- Next earnings
- 2026-07-30
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Adjusted daily closes (split & dividend). Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event
What's priced in
(what the market already expects)What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $29.01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
12-month· primaryfull
$25.11consensus
Range $14.24 – $33.91
vs price: +16% above
Method agreement — · 4 methods
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
3-yearfair
$33.67consensus
Range $30.66 – $36.68
vs price: -14% below
Method agreement — · 2 methods
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
5-yearfair
How much to trust our fair value
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
Cheap vs peerslow confidence
At $29 CUZ trades at 5× p/s, below its 6× p/s peer median. Our $26 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $27–$33. Not investment advice.
Multiple (P/S)
4.9x
peer 5.6x · own history 4.9x
Premium
0.9x peer
1.0x its own history
Growth the price needs
13%
our forecast 10%
Our fair value
$25.63
range $14.24 – $34.76
Analyst range(a guide on our number, not a target)Our number is below the analyst range
How this stock is priced
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
fullfair — but weakening12-month view
What's priced inJustified
The market is pricing in roughly 13% near-term growth, in line with our forecast of about 10%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Low fragilityrisk posture, not a price call
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Historical context
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
How strong is the business
(quality & execution)Factor signals
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Recent financial performance
strongOperating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated strong grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
70th pctl · Real Estate
Earnings quality
loss makingOver the trailing year it converted -75.81x of net income into operating cash flow.
Macro sensitivity
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
- the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity.
Management & capital allocation
Not enough signal yet.
Earnings setup & market context
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
Strongly bearishEPS revised -14.3% / 30d, n=1for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions
EPS estimate $0.07 → $0.06 (-14.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
Rating actions
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 83% of analysts rate Buy.
Divergence: fundamentals are strong but estimates are being cut. Worth reading the recent material events.
Sector context
Intermediate · WeeklySector phase: real estate is in maturing, with decelerating (~1.2 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.Management scorecard
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
Overall: neutral
- Capital allocation
- neutral
- Earnings discipline
- strong
- Margin discipline
- strong
- Balance sheet
- weak
- Post-call reaction
- weak
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
How bumpy is the path
(risk while you hold it)Risk: how this stock moves
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
Intermediate · WeeklyLong-term · 1–3 yr
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$128.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$221.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,765.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
moderateas of 2026-06-12
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
What would change the read
(catalysts & re-read triggers)What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Short-term · Daily
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
What to watch next
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Intermediate · Weekly
- UpsideHigh confidenceMonthsactive 7d
Watch for Q2 operating income results on July 30
Why it matters: Operating income growth is a key priority for management. Strong results would show progress.
What confirms / what disproves
Confirms:Q2 operating income increases year over year by more than 5%.
Disproves:Operating income decreases year over year or grows less than 2%.
Sector context
News catalysts
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CUZ yet.
This sector is also watching
- Watch for impact of upcoming economic reports on Real Estate
- Watch for revenue growth across major REITs to re-accelerate
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Intermediate · Weekly
Upside triggers
- If CUZ reverses course and raises guidance next quarter (came in LOWERED as of 2026-04-29), that's a sharp positive shift. The Street usually rewards a 'crisis averted' bounce-back.
- If the Fed starts cutting rates from the current 3.62%, that would be a tailwind for CUZ and other Real Estate names, since rate-sensitive parts of the market tend to rally when the Fed eases.
- If sector bellwethers like BXP, ARE, and VNO keep beating earnings and guiding higher, the Real Estate sector momentum should keep lifting CUZ and other Real Estate names. Worth watching these names for early signals.
- If CUZ beats again next quarter like it did this past one (a solid beat of +10% on the 2026-03-31 print), the momentum tends to extend, with Street estimates ratcheting up and the stock typically following.
Downside triggers
- If sector bellwethers like BXP, ARE, and VNO start missing or guiding lower, the Real Estate tailwind helping CUZ and other Real Estate names could fade. Watch these names for early warning.
Recent events
(material 8-K / filing activity)Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-291mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 29, 2026 , Cousins Properties Incorporated (the “Company”) issued a Press Release and Quarterly Information Package containing information about the Company’s financial condition and results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s Press Release and Quarterly Information Package is available on the Company's website under Investor Relations and is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form…
Earnings preannouncement—
Score history
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
-3.0 vs last weeklatest as of 2026-06-13
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.