Reading BBWI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BBWI free→Reading BBWI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BBWI free→NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but management's recent track record has been fairly steady and the capital stance is capital unfriendly. Earnings quality is neutral, and risk is elevated, while the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 56% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. Key factors to watch include any potential cuts to guidance and the performance of sector bellwethers like WSM, ULTA, and DKS. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $19.40. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $19 BBWI trades at 6× p/e, below its 16× p/e peer median. Our $44 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $19–$23. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 56% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 70% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.59x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=3229).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.20 → $0.24 (+20.5% / 30d). 13 raised, 0 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 7 maintained. 24% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 14.5% above current price.
1 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Market and fundamentals agree. Analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$255.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$497.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,499.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Maintaining the dividend is important for investor confidence. A cut could signal deeper issues.
Confirms:The company will pay a dividend that is the same or higher than last quarter.
Disproves:The company will cut or stop its dividend.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for BBWI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer — Eva C. Boratto: Eva C. Boratto resigned to pursue another professional opportunity.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$19.00 – $23.00 (median $22.00) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-05-28
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Other Specialty Retail.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ULTA Ulta Beauty | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | fair | moderate |
TSCO Tractor Supply | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | fair | elevated |
CHWY Chewy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | fair | elevated |
VGNT Versigent PLC | — | — | low |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -63.2% avg surprise
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to maintain a consistent dividend payout to shareholders.
Focus on increasing cash generated from operating activities.
Aim to generate approximately $600 million in free cash flow for fiscal 2026.
Why it matters: Updates on cash flow will show if the company is on track to meet its $600M goal.
Confirms:Company reports cash from operations above $150M for Q2.
Disproves:Company reports cash from operations below $100M for Q2.
Why it matters: The new CFO may change financial choices and how investors feel.
Confirms:The new CFO shares a clear plan that makes investors feel better.
Disproves:New CFO fails to provide a clear strategy or faces immediate challenges.
Why it matters: Earnings results show revenue trends and how well the company is doing. A strong report can help investors feel better.
Confirms one read:Q2 earnings beat expectations by more than 10%.
Confirms the other:Q2 earnings fall short of expectations by more than 10%.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition and