Reading AUR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AUR free→Reading AUR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AUR free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, indicating challenges in the current market environment. If AUR cuts guidance on the next call, that could have a meaningful negative impact, while improvements in sector trends from bellwethers could provide some support. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $6.13. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.72x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal yet.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $-0.12. 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 62% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 109.4% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$256.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$578.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,253.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: PPI trends can signal future consumer price changes and impact profit margins.
Confirms one read:PPI rises more than 0.4% month over month, indicating higher production costs.
Confirms the other:PPI rises less than 0.1% month over month, suggesting stable production costs.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for AUR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
No material events in the last 90 days.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Automotive Parts & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AUR Aurora Innovation Inc | — | — | elevated |
BWA BorgWarner | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | full | moderate |
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 49 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
APTV Aptiv | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ALV Autoliv | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Why it matters: The CPI affects how people think about inflation. It also influences how much they spend.
Confirms one read:CPI rises more than 0.5% month over month. This shows inflation is going up.
Confirms the other:CPI increases less than 0.2% month over month, suggesting inflation is under control.
Why it matters: The FOMC's choice on interest rates can change borrowing costs. This affects economic growth.
Confirms one read:FOMC raises rates by 25 basis points. This shows a tighter monetary policy.
Confirms the other:FOMC keeps rates the same or lowers them. This shows a more relaxed approach.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how much people are spending. This affects the outlook for growth.
Confirms one read:Retail sales rise more than 0.6% month over month. This shows strong consumer demand.
Confirms the other:Retail sales fall or rise less than 0.2% month over month. This suggests weak spending.