Reading APD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track APD free→Reading APD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track APD free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · APD
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $281.62. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $334.46 | 25.5 | 13.13 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $241.32 | 25.5 | 9.47 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $128.76 | 2.4 | 54.41 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $499.31 | 52.7 | 9.47 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $239.19 |
| 25.3 |
| 9.47 |
| TTM |
| high |
| triangulated | 12M | $252.85 | 25.5 | 9.92 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $857.47 | 25.5 | 33.65 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $618.69 | 25.5 | 24.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $165.48 | 2.4 | 69.92 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $1280.13 | 52.7 | 24.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $613.24 | 25.3 | 24.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1606.23 | 25.5 | 63.03 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1158.93 | 25.5 | 45.48 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $195.61 | 2.4 | 82.66 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $2397.96 | 52.7 | 45.48 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1148.73 | 25.3 | 45.48 | Analyst | medium |